Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-13 0.951406 1.164951 1.393685 1.654774 1.942505 2.248054 2.595227
2024-10-20 0.630169 0.906822 1.228708 1.621597 2.079759 2.589745 3.193234
2024-10-27 0.537985 0.859979 1.254256 1.754178 2.354916 3.039597 3.865754
2024-11-03 0.461105 0.815714 1.270965 1.867696 2.602954 3.457077 4.503570
2024-11-10 0.403960 0.783981 1.292596 1.978029 2.839770 3.855864 5.115473
2024-11-17 0.357716 0.758565 1.316090 2.086047 3.070869 4.246647 5.718295
2024-11-24 0.299802 0.705440 1.294700 2.130274 3.218480 4.534395 6.197517
2024-12-01 0.241164 0.640252 1.248697 2.135891 3.312853 4.754416 6.593860
2024-12-08 0.176680 0.551280 1.158468 2.073861 3.314371 4.855830 6.843715
2024-12-15 0.125700 0.473078 1.074848 2.013318 3.311846 4.947726 7.078453
2024-12-22 0.090542 0.415254 1.015610 1.981369 3.342451 5.077608 7.356831
2024-12-29 0.071493 0.387153 1.001318 2.012221 3.455853 5.311714 7.763886
2025-01-05 0.049893 0.346431 0.965513 2.015430 3.540047 5.520539 8.156427
2025-01-12 0.030244 0.298779 0.911569 1.987891 3.580709 5.673855 8.481890
2025-01-19 0.028790 0.311139 0.968975 2.133444 3.863804 6.143334 9.206576
2025-01-26 0.026098 0.317670 1.015168 2.261867 4.123831 6.584201 9.897289
2025-02-02 0.023305 0.322440 1.057683 2.384679 4.376556 7.016500 10.578624
2025-02-09 0.020659 0.326508 1.098610 2.505234 4.626790 7.446619 11.258776
2025-02-16 0.014615 0.309620 1.095745 2.554389 4.774857 7.742276 11.768656
2025-02-23 0.008349 0.282114 1.067765 2.560657 4.860172 7.954355 12.171945
2025-03-02 0.002581 0.237536 0.996824 2.491619 4.833511 8.015527 12.380786
2025-03-09 0.000262 0.198134 0.929804 2.424162 4.805531 8.072285 12.581857
2025-03-16 NaN 0.170113 0.883677 2.388527 4.821240 8.184985 12.852290